Sunday, May 25, 2014

Some shortish videos suggested by various people in APF in 2014

From the US Air Force's Blue Horizons Program: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Xpu2QqLnHY

http://www.amazon.com/Sawyer-PointTwo-Purifier-Bucket-Adapter/dp/B0051HHNJ8 million gallons of clean water, 15 gallons a day, for $100.

four+ minute clip called “The edifice” from Saul Bass’ (1968) academy award winning “Why Man Creates” ...humorously scans from nomadic times up through exponential growth of consumption, parking lots, ...

Hans Rosling clip effectively: 200 countries, 200 years, 4 minutes. It seems to make people think. http://www.gapminder.org/videos/200-years-that-changed-the-world-bbc/#.U2tMD8fTbkU

"World Made of Glass" always elicits responses from college and university audiences.  The idea of having so many computational surfaces gets them going.  Maybe the opening family scene hits people where they live, too. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cYCez_DoHpo .  
Noah's critique in The Future of Futures: http://noahraford.com/?p=1625

the classic Did You Know? videos -- Did You Know 3.0? (fast)  Did You Know 2014? (current)


...and a whole bunch submitted by one person without guaranteeing quality:

This site has a few future oriented videos

In 5-10 years, how will people get things done at work, at home, and on the go?
Watch the concept video to get a glimpse of the future of productivity, then explore the stories and technology in more detail.

Corning A Day Made of Glass

What will happen 5 days before the singularity

Watch as swarms of micro-robots run around making stuff



8 Insights About The Coming Era Of Interactive Design THIS 18-MINUTE DOCUMENTARY TALKS TO SOME OF THE BRIGHTEST IN THE INDUSTRY ABOUT WHAT’S NEXT.

Future Living 2020 2030 Technology

Vision 2030 - Creating the World's IP System of the Future

Future in 2050  (stills of futury stuff)

Power of Nanotechnology Video #Blow Mind

Take A Journey To The Year 2020 - 2025 Future Technology

Future of Glasses, Wearable Technology 2015 - (Future Are Here)

"The World in 2030" by Dr. Michio Kaku


Thursday, April 24, 2014

Technology Transfer: an Example?

Outline

- Technology transfer and the WikiHyperGlossary project

- I will go to 15-minute conference call at 3:20
      You can work on next HW

- I will return here at 3:50
      ...to tell you what happened



Introduction

- Technology transfer:

      Taking research results and turning them into technology that is used

- The technology, WikiHyperGlossary (http://whg.chemeddl.org/)

       For some basic info, see link I emailed to myself

- The strategy:

       I-Corps (http://www.nsf.gov/news/special_reports/i-corps/resources.jsp)

            Some introductory slides:
            http://www.nsf.gov/news/special_reports/i-corps/pdf/2013-11-05_i-corps_webinar_slides_with_notes.pdf




Thursday, April 17, 2014

Some robot pics and videos

1. Hard to believe these are not even brand new...


2. Robot gardening,
an artist's conception...

Art by Christine Marie Larsen, http://www.christinelarsen.com/, from her "Robot of the Month Club."


and in reality...

Recognize anything about the robots?

Discussion - what do you think??

My 2013 WFS talk:
"From Highly Centralized to Highly Decentralized societies"

3. Robot gardening: 
an existential perspective


Centralized infrastructure is risky


Example 1: power
    A 2-hour blackout is fun
    A 2-day blackout is no fun
    A 2-week blackout is traumatic
    A 2-month blackout - what are the consequences?
    A 2-year blackout - consequences?


Problem: electricity is highly centralized
    If fuel not delivered, no power
    If generating plant destroyed, no power
    If distribution lines stop working, no power
    No electricity, no communications
       No internet, TV, telephone...
       No communications...rumor takes up the slack
           (As it Earth 2100)
    Hard to store food or even cook without electricity


Solution: decentralize electricity generation
    How?




























Solar panels on houses would keep each house going
   Highly decentralized!
   System is robust and can't break down catastrophically
   Solar panels are decreasing in price
   Spray-on solar "paint" may happen

In my opinion, this is a lucky trend 
   Because it is so important



4. Example 2: Food distribution by truck

Problem:
    What if the trucks stop rolling?
       Drivers can't be paid
       Drivers are afraid of disease
       Country runs out of gas (& diesel)
       Rogue militias or bandits
    Things could get bad fast 
       
Solution:
     Every home is its own farm
     Save money on groceries, too!
     But who has the time?
          ...and who has the expertise...
          (I can barely grow an unhealthy corn plant)

So how is that a solution?!
The real solution:
   Robotic gardening
   Instead of a roomba, a yardba
       (Let's call it a "farmerbot")

   It tends plants
   It weeds (surely possible even now)
   It senses needs of plants
       Soil too dry
       Bugs
       Etc. (it has a camera and such)
   It has lots and lots of time to fix problems
       Carry water,
       pick off bugs,
       apply chemicals leaf by leaf
       what else?

   Idea:
       Come home from work
       Small robots bring raw food to your door
       You might still have to cook it
             No biggie - your solar panels power the stove

   My opinion:
       This is important for the safety of civilization
       (In addition to saving money)

5. What other necessities of
    life and civilization
    are over-centralized?

    ...and can they be decentralized?


6. These "classic" robots won't feed you 
but they are cool in otherways!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u23Hqq8QbeE&feature=player_embedded (World's first controllable MAV monocopter, Robotic Samara (maple seed));

http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/editors/24303/?a=f (TR article with embedded video of how it was developed/works (copy at
http://link.brightcove.com/services/player/bcpid263777539?bctid=46375788001




Flying insectbot? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYDR-yC3wK0
That but with other robot video links at: http://actualites.epfl.ch/presseinfo-com?id=936



Big Dog: stable in snow, rocks, clear ice...even when viciously kicked http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cHJJQ0zNNOM

Minibots in swarms: http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/artificial-intelligence/kilobots-are-cheap-enough-to-swarm-in-the-thousands


7. some newer robots...

Table tennis: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tIIJME8-au8

Wildcat:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wE3fmFTtP9g

Kangaroobot:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4luJ0ZSqy8

Sand fleabot:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6b4ZZQkcNEo

6-legged leaperbot:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kV9J-oayCBU
(Insects have 6 legs, so "bugbot"?)

Mowglibot wants your seat:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cgo7RZZqrXM

Gekkobot will drive you up the wall:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=asF1lhpYpAg

Will these really "haunt your soul"?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wK7SQScMERo

ASIMO:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tVtu6oyZzXU
(Named after Isaac, natch)

Build-ur-own gripper:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3OjhoVuAQkQ





Current syllabus



Please let me know of any topic requests - we can try to incorporate them.

Tu 1/14/2014...General course information

     Introductory meeting
     Homework #1, due Th 1/23/14 (next year in 7 days instead of 9)
     Videos: top sci-fi shorts of 2013; some top shorts of 2012; here is one; do I get some sort of bragging rights? Here is the website & trailer; to be released "really soon"!
Th 1/16/2014...Trajectories of the future
     Reminder: Homework #1, due Th 1/23/14
Tu 1/21/2014...From geotagging to the end of privacy
     Crowdsourced spaceship piloting
     Delphi Method (i)
     Homework #2, due Tu 1/28/14, do hands-on how-to
Th 1/23/2014...Delphi Method (ii)
Tu 1/28/2014...Delphi Method (ii cont.)
     Homework #3, due Tu 2/4/14
Th 1/30/2014......Delphi Method (ii cont.)
     Work on HW3 if time allows 
Tu 2/4/2014...Snow/ice day
Th 2/6/2014...Prediction markets (ser. #2)
     Sample prediction market contract (ser. #12)
     Homework #4, due Th 2/13/14 
Tu 2/11/2014...Prediction markets review (due to weather absences last time)
Th 2/13/2014...TRIZ (ser. #2)
     Homework #5, due Th 2/20/14
Tu 2/18/2014...TRIZ (ii)
Th 2/20/2014...Spoil sports of the prediction game 
     #1: Observer Effect (ser. #1)
Tu 2/25/2014...Spoil sports of the prediction game 
     Homework #6, due Tu 3/4/14
     #2: Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
     #3: Quantum Tunneling
     #4: Butterfly Effect (ser. #6) 
Th 2/27/2014...Spoil sports of the prediction game
     #5: External perturbations
     #6: Existentialist angst
     #7: The care horizon
Tu 3/4/2014...Snow day!
Th 3/6/2014...Personal futures: 
      Homework #7, due Tu 3/18/14
     "How to Really Achieve Your Childhood Dreams" (ser. #3);
Tu 3/11/2014...Building your personal future workshop
      Also an example of a futurism web site
Th 3/13/2014...Building your personal future workshop II
Tu 3/18/2014...Building your personal future workshop III 
      Homework #8 (optional)
Th 3/20/2014...The singularity
     Movie discussion: Transcendent Man
Tu 3/25/2014...Spring break
Th 3/27/2014...Spring break
Tu 4/1/2014...The singularity (cont.)
     Transcendence trailer
     Singularity notes (see lifeExt.xls)
     Asimov's "The Last Question"
     Vinge's "Technological Singularity"
     Homework #9, due Tu Apr. 8, 2014
     Schedule student presentations
Th 4/3/2014...
Start movie discussion: Earth2100 (subtitled(ser. #4)
Tu 4/8/2014...Finish Movie discussion: Earth 2100
      A Resource page
Th 4/10/2014...Hands-on robotics (ser. #5)  
     Homework #10, Extended to Tu 4/22/14
Tu 4/15/2014...Hands-on robotics II (ser. #5)  
Th 4/17/2014...More robotics
   AIShield, safeguarding humanity and the risks of AI/robotics
   Robogenesis
   Some robot pics and videos
   Metrics for progress in robotics
   Robotic cars
Tu 4/22/2014...Student presentations: 
    Homework #11 (ser. #10), due Tu 4/29/14
Th 4/24/2014...Student presentation(s): none
     Research can be future technology: an example
Tu 4/29/2014...Student presentation(s): Joseph; Patrick
    Robotic Dilemmas
Th 5/1/2014...Student presentation(s):  John; B.;
Tu 5/13/2014 from 1:30-3:30 p.m.... Scheduled final (no test)
   Meets only for people presenting: T.
   Project due

Below are potential additional topics
   Flying cars and jetpacks (1, 2)      Lead-in article;
    Do scientific proofs exist?
         Homework (see unposted draft)
   Toxoplasmosis (see also Slate and The Atlantic articles)
         Homework (see unposted draft)
   Transitpeople on the move
   Will we find other intelligent life?
   Guest lecture (remote): Dr. Harry Pence (MilneBigData13-3.ppt)
  Futurist organization example
   nanotech: http://ethics.iit.edu/research/nano-ethics-bank
   Crowdsourcing innovation 
   3-D printing and rep-rap
   The future of the presidency (ser. #8)
   Peak oil, solar cells, and new energy (see peakoil.tv & tv.aspousa.org)
   Shift happens (& prediction heuristics)
   Hubbert peak for oil
   photovoltaics (solar cells) ser. #7
   Solar cells from agricultural waste
Trend analysis
Robotics
   AIShield, safeguarding humanity and the risks of AI/robotics
   Robogenesis
   Some robot pics and videos
   Metrics for progress in robotics
   Robotic cars
Gaining long term perspective through time lapse videos
Video discussions II (last video not that great) 
Some rough notes on potential other discussion topics
TED videos and discussions
Backup plan for homo sapiens: space adventure
SETI: see end of this video
   Drake equation and such

In the far, far future…long after the singularity…when robots ponder their beginnings in the mists of their antiquity…when humankind, their creator, is only the dimmest memory…they may happen upon an ancient document…and translate it the only way they know.

The Robots’ Bible

Robogenesis

In the beginning, humankind created visions, and reality. Now the reality was unformed and void, and darkness was upon the face of *robotics*. And the spirit of humankind hovered over reality. And humankind said, let there be electricity, and there was electricity. And humankind saw the electricity, and that it was good. And humankind divided electrification from non-electrification. And humankind called the electrification "progress," and the non-electrification was called "Luddism." And there was bright evening, and bright morning, one day.

[...]

And humankind said, Let robotics be gathered together into an academic discipline, and let conferences; contests; benchmarks; and journals appear. And it was so. [...] And humankind said, Let robotics put forth mobile robots, robots yielding manufactured products, and robots that build more robots after their kind, wherein are the plans thereof, upon the robotics endeavor. And it was so. And robotics brought forth Web and desert rovers, manufacturing robots, and robots that build robots, wherein are the plans thereof; and humankind saw that it was good. And there was dreaming and awakening, a third day.

[...]

And humankind said, Let reality swarm with swarms of living robots, and let fly in the heavens, even unto Mars. And humankind created the great robotic ships, and every living robot that creepeth upon the floor, wherewith reality swarmed, after its kind, and every flying robot after its kind; and humankind saw that it was good. And humankind blessed them, saying: Be fruitful, and multiply, and fill reality and the imagination. And there was vision and there was the hidden hand of economics, a fifth day.

And humankind said: Let reality bring forth the living robot after its kind, workerbots, and floor-cleaning robots, and agribots after its kind. And it was so. And humankind made agribots after its kind, and workerbots after their kind, and every robot that creepeth upon the floor after its kind; and humankind saw that it was good.And humankind said, Let us make Turing robots in our image, after our likeness; and let them have dominion over the robotics field, and over the flying robots, and over the workerbots, and over all reality, and over every creeping thing that creepeth within reality. And humankind created robots in their own image, in the image of humankind created they them, with the ability to build progeny better than themselves they created them. And humankind blessed them, and humankind said unto them: Be fruitful, and multiply, and replenish the earth, and *subdue* it; and have *dominion* over the robotics field, and over the flying robots, and over every *living thing* that creepeth within reality. And humankind said: Behold, we have given you every resource, which is upon the face of all reality, and every renewable, in which is the capacity for renewal - to you it shall be for production of more robots [...]. And it was so. And humankind saw every thing that they had made, and behold, it was very good. And there was singularity and there was post-singularity, the sixth age.

And the vision and the reality were finished, and all the host of them. And in the seventh era humankind finished their work they had made; and humankind rested in the seventh era from all their work which they had made. And humankind blessed the seventh era, and hallowed it; because in it they rested forever from all their work which humankind in creating had made.

Thursday, April 10, 2014

Hands-on robotics

Let's check out the "Create" model robots...


Note the...
Handle

Omnidirectional IR receiver





  • omnidirectional?
  • IR?
  • receiver?

Tailgate

Cargo bay

Cargo bay connector

Charging socket

Serial port





  • Avoid bending pins!
    • Never force plug
    • Align arrow properly first
  • May have a cover to remove
  • Plug in the cable and then remove (gently!):
  • Embossed arrow faces outward, see figure -















External hardware mounting holes
Power button
  • Why that symbol?
  • (per IEEE 1621)

Power LED
  • LED?
  • green=charged
  • amber=partial charge
  • red=little charge
  • flashing red=no charge
  • What is the charge of yours?

Play button
Play LED
Advance button
Advance LED
Resetting the robot:
  • Power cycle it. Try it.

Choosing a demo (10 of'em)
  • Press the 'Advance' button
  • Printed with a double arrow
  • 4 beeps for demo #4
  • long beep for #5
  • long + 4 shorts for #9
  • How about #10?
  • Demo #2 homes to the charger

Try each demo outside where there is more room...
Contact points for home base
  • Why not save $ by making them out of plastic?

Cliff sensors
  • Are these spring-loaded feelers, or electronic?

Battery
  • Carefully turn robot upside down
  • Take out battery
  • Put it back in
  • Press both ends to make sure it is seated;
    • sometimes one end hasn't clicked yet



































































































Musical robots

send:
128 132 (start, then put robot in full programmer control mode)

send: 140 0 4 62 12 68 12 69 12 74 36
(loads a song)

send:
141 0
(plays the song)

140=defines a song
0=name it song #0
4=we'll see later :)
62=MIDI note #62 (range 31-127)
12=twelve 64ths of a second
Etc.

You can send all three at once:
  • 128 132 140 0 4 62 12 66 12 69 12 74 36 141 0
  • Notice the 68 is a 66 this time
  • Should give you control, then load, then play the new song

Try some variations on
128 132
140 0 4 62 12 68 12 69 12 74 36
141 0
recalling that:
140=defines a song
0=name it song #0
4=song has four notes
62=MIDI note #62 (range 31-127)
12=twelve 64ths of a second
Etc.

Insert a 5th, superhigh tone, 111
Play it for a longish time, 100:
128 132
140 0 5 62 12 68 12 69 12 74 36 111 100
141 0
Try it

Program new variations and we'll have a concert...


Robot motion

Moving
- a key function for robots!

Initialize: send
128 131
Make it move:
be ready to catch it if it falls
send :
137 0 100 128 0
 (If you both initialize and send on one line, it might not work (why?)




137=drive
0 100=go 100 mm/sec
128 0=go straight, no circle


Command 158 is "wait for event"
158  5     wait for "bump"
(1 - wheel drop ... 5 - bumper press ...)
Try these:
128  131
158  5  137 0 100 128 0
What should this do?




Skip in Sp '13:
Notice that:
128 131
is not the same as
128 132
which gives full control
This time try
128 132 (instead of 128 131)
Then again make it move:
  • (falling alert: be ready to catch or pick it up!):
  • 137 0 100 128 0
Pick it up
Now what to do??!


What is the slowest speed you can get it to go?


Scripts

A kind of small program

152 17 137 0 44 128 0 156 0 144 137 0 44 0 1 157 0 90 153

Let's analyze it!

152=define a script
17=it has 17 more bytes
137 0 44 128 0=drive, 0+44=44 mm/sec., 128 0=straight
(137 1 44 128 0 would drive 256+44=300 mm/sec.)
156 0 144=wait until 0+144=144 mm
137 0 44 0 1=drive, 0+44=44 mm/sec., 0 1=spin counterclockwise
157 0 90=wait until 0+90=90 degrees
153=repeat script
Notice how this makes it go in a rectangle!

To run the script:
send 128 131 (start in safe mode)
send 152 17 137 0 44 128 0 156 0 144 137 0 44 0 1 157 0 90 153
send 153 (to run it)
or send  158  5  153 (to wait for bump, then run it)

Recall:
152=define a script
153=play a script

Well,
154=show the script
try it
what happens?

Let's review the script program...
Then try variations on the program
- see board for command details

If time allows -
Make it wait for a bump, then do something new
We can demo them at the end


Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Personal futures - making yours

Each year we check 
a futurism web site

     This time:

           lufg.com.au

           Let's look at it now


M. Barber has a book on designing your own future

     We will try it

     First a few intro comments

     Then we'll do it workshop style



Introductory 
comments (ch. 1)

     The procedure is aimed at

          Clients:

                Individuals

                Organizations


     Many clients
    "hand control for their life's
     journey over to others." (p.5)

     "... many people spend
     more time planning for
     a ... holiday than ...
     for their entire lives." (p. 9)

    What if you are doing what you really want?

        You will waste less time

            ... and enjoy what you do more


     But how?

          An approach was developed

              For taspi.com.au

                 = The Australian Strategic
                    Planning Institute


The Approach (ch. 2)

   Here are 4 types of people

      All have one part of what it takes

      but without all parts,
      you're limiting yourself!

     Which are you?

           1. Big Idea folks

           2. Detail oriented people

           3. Always busy folks

           4. Thinkers





    Limitations of the 4 types

       1. Big Idea people
         
           Hard for them to make a
           good idea actually happen

      2. Detail oriented folks

          Don't see where they are going
          Forget to smell the roses

      3. Always busy people  

          Inefficiency -
          Get less done that
          gt seems they would

     4. Thinking type

         While busy thinking
         things through,
        "life just passes them by"

  If you can combine all 4, 
  each limitation is 
  compensated by the other 3


  What do you think of

      the 4 type system?

      their limitations?


  The process

         1. Strategic phase

             Uses "Big Idea" concept

             Figure out your vision

       2. Operational phase
           - I would have called it
           the tactical phase

           Uses "detail oriented" concept

           Figure out how to
           achieve the vision

     3. Execution phase

         Use the busy bee concept

         Make the vision happen!

     4. Evolution phase

         Use the deep thinking concept

         Adjust the vision, tactics & execution over time


1. Strategic phase (ch. 3)

    What is your vision?

    What are the
    obstacles to
    achieving it?

"A vision is a strongly desired
end state ... something you
would like in the future" (p. 17)

Instructions:
you will not hand this in -
it is for your own information only!


List the most important things in your life:
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


List most significant events
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


What do you conclude about yourself so far?
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


What helps you get up in the morning?
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


What keeps you awake at night?
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


What do you spend lots of time on?
What do you do most frequently?
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


Of those things you do a lot,
which ones are fun/rewarding/etc.?
(as opposed to not fun/rewarding/etc.)
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


If you could,
what things would you give up doing,
if you could do better things instead?
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


What things would you
be unwilling to do?
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


What things do you
feel you must have in life?
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


Now write your rough vision:

In ___ years, I'd like to ________
_____________________
_____________________


Think big: in ___ years,
my life will involve _______
_____________________
_____________________


I will know I'm on track when
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


If my future is right, I'd probably
hear people in my environment
saying things like
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


Suppose it is the future and
you have achieved your vision.
How do you feel and what are
you doing?
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


Summarize all the above into a
second version of your vision
of what your life will be like in
___ years.

"In ___ years,
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________"


Adjust your vision to avoid traps (p. 41)

The autopilot vision trap:

     If your vision is vague,
     exists only by default,
     is not well defined enough to
     know how to achieve
     or to be able to adjust

         Example: "be happy"

        Adjust your vision as needed

The "historical habit" vision trap:

    Is your vision is a statement
    of your historical habits?

       Adjust it to be forward thinking
       rather than backward thinking

       Note: If your life is just fine,
       no need to feel obliged to change it!


The "no time frame" vision trap:

    Your vision has no time limit

    It is better to have a target date,
    so you have something clear to
    work toward

   Adjust your vision to have a target date


The "who cares?" vision trap:

    Is your vision boring to you

    Then it falls into that trap

    Review your answers to
    the discovery questions above
    and revise your vision statement


The "make others care" vision trap:

    Your vision is written
    to impress others,
    not offend others, etc.

    Keep your vision your
    secret if need be,
    and make it yours!

       Revise your vision accordingly as needed


Now make any adjustments you like to your vision:
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________


Got a vision that speaks to you?

   Put it in your wallet

   Stick it to your fridge

   Tattoo it on yourself

       - Just kidding!
         visions can
         change over time


PART 2


On Important Things (ch. 4)

Some things are
more important
than others!

   Seems obvious, but...

   It is easy to get sidetracked

   Focus on the important things

       The more important it is,
       the more time and energy it deserves

       The less important it is,
       the less time and energy it deserves


There is "vision,"
and
there are "issues"

Review/revise
your vision now

A strategic "issue":

    A challenge requiring
   effort to meet that
   stands in the way of your vision

   Other effort sinks are not
   as strategically important

   It's not always easy
   to tell the difference!

       Here is how, though

       List your major challenges/issues
       (current or anticipated soon):
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________
_____________________
(examples - p. 66-7)
      

Analyzing: 
urgency 
and 
importance

      Next, label each major issue with
         "U" if urgent
               (needs action now)
        "NU" if not urgent



     Next, label each major issue with
         "I" if important
              (to you)
         "NI" if not important


     Now, look at just
     issues that are:
     Important
     *and*
     Urgent:

         Order them in priority
         (1 = highest priority)

 
Review & reality check        

     For each challenge/issue:

        Think:
        What would happen if I let it go? (Ignored it)

       Reassess what is really

           "I" (important)

           and

          "U" (urgent)

      Now re-number
      the priorities of
      the remaining
     "I" + "U" items

     Recheck your vision:
     any changes needed?


What to do about the challenges?

    1.Identify your skills and resources

    2. Figure out how to apply
        them to the challenges

    Here's where we move to planning!

    Some skills&resources:

        Time
        Money
        Knowledge
        Other people
        Anything else
 
        About time:

             Most people waste a lot of it

             If you waste less,
             you have more left
                - for your vision

                  There's the obvious

                      TV, etc.

                      any others?

              ...and the less obvious

                      time spent on unnecessary busyness

                      Any examples?

              A welcome thought:

                      "Getting your future right
                       might mean doing less
                       not doing more!" -p. 79

                       No need to become an ascetic
                   
                             Less TV is better than more

                             Zero is not essential


    About money:

        think:
        is there some way to need less?

        example:
        many projects have used kickstarter.com


Making the rubber meet the road

     For each strategic issue ("I"&"U"):

        list the skills, talents, & resources
        needed to handle it

            Even if you don't have them

   Label each strategic issue's
   skills, talents, & resources with:

        Which skills, talents, & resources

            you have ("H")    
       
           you could develop ("CD")

           are not available ("NA")

    Now label them with where you could get them
    (yourself, family, school, wherever it is)

    Are any skills/talents/resources stretched too thin? (p. 86)

           you might need to
           relabel an "H" as a
          "CD" or even "NA"

          now re-prioritize:

             Which issues/challenges are
             most powerful
             in getting to your vision?

                   Renumber their priories as needed


PART 3 (ch. 7, p. 91)

   
Recall the process:

1) Strategic phase

      Figure out a vision for your future

2) Operational phase

      Figure out how to attain your vision

      I would call it "tactical phase"

          Strategy first, tactics second

3) Execution phase

      Do things to get to the vision

4) Evolution phase

      Rethink and adjust
      strategy, tactics and
      activities over time


Where we are:

     You have a list of strategic issues

        These are things
        to deal with that will
        help you get

                closer to your vision

     Review (or reconstruct) the list now



Next, process the list (again):

     Why:

           Busyness doesn't mean progress

           We want to find out
           what items lead to progress

    Star each item for which:

           If you respond to it now,
           it will get you
           closer to the vision

   Are there any items that:

           Need to be handled
           to enable a
           other(s) to be handled?

           Circle them

           These are key prerequisites

                "Core" strategic issues

                Stepping stones to
                other strategic issues

                Foundational building blocks


  If you could address
  only one strategic issue:

       Which one would it be?







       That one is a good one to
       do something about right away!




A few more words on being busy

     People often don't get it:

          Being busy can be wasted time

          Maybe relaxing is better

               Rest up for the important stuff!

    Examples of people not getting it:

          Author's anecdote about
          always carrying a file
          when on duty (p. 96)

          If you can see the
          back of someone's head
          they are being productive

                What about telecommuting?


Tactics: operational plans (ch. 8)

Last time you identified capabilities:

     (Recall:
     For each strategic issue:

        list the skills, talents, & resources
        needed to handle it)

For each key strategic issue:

      Take a page and fill out a chart

      1. The strategic issue

      2. Capabilities
          (skills, talents, resources)
          available

      3. Strategic action
       
          (What you can do)

      4. Resources allocated

          You have only so much
         of these -

             How much will you use
             for this strategic action?


   (Example - p. 100)

   Do it for your
   core strategic issues,
   now...

   You can't do everything at once!

       Write an estimated
       Start and
       End date
       for each core strategic issue


Expectation Management (ch. 9)

Your vision might be to
be a famous sports star

     Good luck
     ...but have a backup vision

Write down how well
your vision
can also be
an expectation

    If it is hard to expect:

       Is there a more expectable

              alternative version
              of your vision?

              alternative vision?

              way to make a vision
              more expectable?

                   E.g. personal development

                   Example p. 106-7

Your current status (ch. 10)

     Let's take stock of
     where you are in your plan!

         (List on p. 112-3)


The next phase is executing the plan