Friday, October 31, 2014



Please let me know of any topic requests - we can try to incorporate them.

Tu 1/14/2014...General course information

     Introductory meeting
     Homework #1, due Th 1/23/14 (next year in 7 days instead of 9)
     Videos: shorts recommended in 2014top sci-fi shorts of 2013; some top shorts of 2012; here is one; do I get some sort of bragging rights? Here is the website & trailer; to be released "really soon"!
Th 1/16/2014...Trajectories of the future
     Reminder: Homework #1, due Th 1/23/14
Tu 1/21/2014...From geotagging to the end of privacy
     Crowdsourced spaceship piloting
     Delphi Method (i)
     Homework #2, due Tu 1/28/14, do hands-on how-to
Th 1/23/2014...Delphi Method (ii)
Tu 1/28/2014...Delphi Method (ii cont.)
     Homework #3, due Tu 2/4/14
Th 1/30/2014......Delphi Method (ii cont.)
     Work on HW3 if time allows 
Tu 2/4/2014...Snow/ice day
Th 2/6/2014...Prediction markets (ser. #2)
     Sample prediction market contract (ser. #12)
     Homework #4, due Th 2/13/14 
Tu 2/11/2014...Prediction markets review (due to weather absences last time)
Th 2/13/2014...TRIZ (ser. #2)
     Homework #5, due Th 2/20/14
Tu 2/18/2014...TRIZ (ii)
Th 2/20/2014...Spoil sports of the prediction game 
     #1: Observer Effect (ser. #1)
Tu 2/25/2014...Spoil sports of the prediction game 
     Homework #6, due Tu 3/4/14
     #2: Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
     #3: Quantum Tunneling
     #4: Butterfly Effect (ser. #6) 
Th 2/27/2014...Spoil sports of the prediction game
     #5: External perturbations
     #6: Existentialist angst
     #7: The care horizon
Tu 3/4/2014...Snow day!
Th 3/6/2014...Personal futures: 
      Homework #7, due Tu 3/18/14
     "How to Really Achieve Your Childhood Dreams" (ser. #3);
Tu 3/11/2014...Building your personal future workshop
      Also an example of a futurism web site
Th 3/13/2014...Building your personal future workshop II
Tu 3/18/2014...Building your personal future workshop III 
      Homework #8 (optional)
Th 3/20/2014...The singularity
     Movie discussion: Transcendent Man
Tu 3/25/2014...Spring break
Th 3/27/2014...Spring break
Tu 4/1/2014...The singularity (cont.)
     Transcendence trailer
     Singularity notes (see lifeExt.xls)
     Asimov's "The Last Question"
     Vinge's "Technological Singularity"
     Homework #9, due Tu Apr. 8, 2014
     Schedule student presentations
Th 4/3/2014...
Start movie discussion: Earth2100 (subtitled(ser. #4)
Tu 4/8/2014...Finish Movie discussion: Earth 2100
      A Resource page
Th 4/10/2014...Hands-on robotics (ser. #5)  
     Homework #10, Extended to Tu 4/22/14
Tu 4/15/2014...Hands-on robotics II (ser. #5)  
Th 4/17/2014...More robotics
      AIShield, safeguarding humanity and the risks of AI/robotics
    Robogenesis
     Some robot pics and videos
    Metrics for progress in robotics
    Robotic cars
Tu 4/22/2014...Robotics and Decentralized Societies
     Robotic Dilemmas
     Last Homework (#11) (ser. #10), due Tu 4/29/14 (on paper!)
Th 4/24/2014...Student presentation(s): Kenneth     
     From research to future technology: example 
Tu 4/29/2014...Student presentation(s): Joseph; Patrick; B. G.
Th 5/1/2014...Student presentation(s):  B.; S.; Mathew
Tu 5/13/2014 from 1:30-3:30 p.m.... Scheduled final (no test)
   Meets only for people presenting: T.; K.; John
   Project due

Below are potential additional topics
   Flying cars and jetpacks (1, 2)      Lead-in article;
    2 hour review of futuring (ser. #9)
    Do scientific proofs exist?
         Homework (see unposted draft)
   Toxoplasmosis (ser. #11) (see also Slate and The Atlantic articles)
         Homework (see unposted draft)
   Transitpeople on the move
   Will we find other intelligent life?
   Guest lecture (remote): Dr. Harry Pence (MilneBigData13-3.ppt)
  Futurist organization example
   nanotech: http://ethics.iit.edu/research/nano-ethics-bank
   Crowdsourcing innovation 
   3-D printing and rep-rap
   The future of the presidency (ser. #8)
   Peak oil, solar cells, and new energy (see peakoil.tv & tv.aspousa.org)
   Shift happens (& prediction heuristics)
   Hubbert peak for oil
   photovoltaics (solar cells) ser. #7
   Solar cells from agricultural waste
Trend analysis
Video discussions II (last video not that great) 
Some rough notes on potential other discussion topics
TED videos and discussions
Backup plan for homo sapiens: space adventure
SETI: see end of this video
   Drake equation and such

Sunday, May 25, 2014

Some shortish videos suggested by various people in APF in 2014

From the US Air Force's Blue Horizons Program: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Xpu2QqLnHY

http://www.amazon.com/Sawyer-PointTwo-Purifier-Bucket-Adapter/dp/B0051HHNJ8 million gallons of clean water, 15 gallons a day, for $100.

four+ minute clip called “The edifice” from Saul Bass’ (1968) academy award winning “Why Man Creates” ...humorously scans from nomadic times up through exponential growth of consumption, parking lots, ...

Hans Rosling clip effectively: 200 countries, 200 years, 4 minutes. It seems to make people think. http://www.gapminder.org/videos/200-years-that-changed-the-world-bbc/#.U2tMD8fTbkU

"World Made of Glass" always elicits responses from college and university audiences.  The idea of having so many computational surfaces gets them going.  Maybe the opening family scene hits people where they live, too. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cYCez_DoHpo .  
Noah's critique in The Future of Futures: http://noahraford.com/?p=1625

the classic Did You Know? videos -- Did You Know 3.0? (fast)  Did You Know 2014? (current)


...and a whole bunch submitted by one person without guaranteeing quality:

This site has a few future oriented videos

In 5-10 years, how will people get things done at work, at home, and on the go?
Watch the concept video to get a glimpse of the future of productivity, then explore the stories and technology in more detail.

Corning A Day Made of Glass

What will happen 5 days before the singularity

Watch as swarms of micro-robots run around making stuff



8 Insights About The Coming Era Of Interactive Design THIS 18-MINUTE DOCUMENTARY TALKS TO SOME OF THE BRIGHTEST IN THE INDUSTRY ABOUT WHAT’S NEXT.

Future Living 2020 2030 Technology

Vision 2030 - Creating the World's IP System of the Future

Future in 2050  (stills of futury stuff)

Power of Nanotechnology Video #Blow Mind

Take A Journey To The Year 2020 - 2025 Future Technology

Future of Glasses, Wearable Technology 2015 - (Future Are Here)

"The World in 2030" by Dr. Michio Kaku


Thursday, April 24, 2014

Technology Transfer: an Example?

Outline

- Technology transfer and the WikiHyperGlossary project

- I will go to 15-minute conference call at 3:20
      You can work on next HW

- I will return here at 3:50
      ...to tell you what happened



Introduction

- Technology transfer:

      Taking research results and turning them into technology that is used

- The technology, WikiHyperGlossary (http://whg.chemeddl.org/)

       For some basic info, see link I emailed to myself

- The strategy:

       I-Corps (http://www.nsf.gov/news/special_reports/i-corps/resources.jsp)

            Some introductory slides:
            http://www.nsf.gov/news/special_reports/i-corps/pdf/2013-11-05_i-corps_webinar_slides_with_notes.pdf




Thursday, April 17, 2014

Some robot pics and videos

1. A few fun videos:

  • Big Dog: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cNZPRsrwumQ
  • 10 amazing robots: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6feEE716UEk
  • (9 min.) Asimo vs HPR-4 vs NAO: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_m56irWKeI
  • Ping pong: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tIIJME8-au8
  • Sand Flea: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6b4ZZQkcNEo


2. Hard to believe these are not even brand new...


3. Robot gardening,
an artist's conception...

Art by Christine Marie Larsen, http://www.christinelarsen.com/, from her "Robot of the Month Club."


and in reality...

Recognize anything about the robots?

Discussion - what do you think??

My 2013 WFS talk:
"From Highly Centralized to Highly Decentralized societies"

4. Robot gardening: 
an existential perspective


Centralized infrastructure is risky


Example 1: power
    A 2-hour blackout is fun
    A 2-day blackout is no fun
    A 2-week blackout is traumatic
    A 2-month blackout - what are the consequences?
    A 2-year blackout - consequences?


Problem: electricity is highly centralized
    If fuel not delivered, no power
    If generating plant destroyed, no power
    If distribution lines stop working, no power
    No electricity, no communications
       No internet, TV, telephone...
       No communications...rumor takes up the slack
           (As it Earth 2100)
    Hard to store food or even cook without electricity


Solution: decentralize electricity generation
    How?












Solar panels on houses would keep each house going
   Highly decentralized!
   System is robust and can't break down catastrophically
   Solar panels are decreasing in price
   Spray-on solar "paint" may happen

In my opinion, this is a lucky trend 
   Because it is so important



5. Example 2: Food distribution by truck

Problem:
    What if the trucks stop rolling?
       Drivers can't be paid
       Drivers are afraid of disease
       Country runs out of gas (& diesel)
       Rogue militias or bandits
    Things could get bad fast 
       
Solution:
     Every home is its own farm
     Save money on groceries, too!
     But who has the time?
          ...and who has the expertise...
          (I can barely grow an unhealthy corn plant)

So how is that a solution?!
The real solution:
   Robotic gardening
   Instead of a roomba, a yardba
       (Let's call it a "farmerbot")

   It tends plants
   It weeds (surely possible even now)
   It senses needs of plants
       Soil too dry
       Bugs
       Etc. (it has a camera and such)
   It has lots and lots of time to fix problems
       Carry water,
       pick off bugs,
       apply chemicals leaf by leaf
       what else?

   Idea:
       Come home from work
       Small robots bring raw food to your door
       You might still have to cook it
             No biggie - your solar panels power the stove

   My opinion:
       This is important for the safety of civilization
       (In addition to saving money)

5. What other necessities of
    life and civilization
    are over-centralized?

    ...and can they be decentralized?


6. These "classic" robots won't feed you 
but they are cool in otherways!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u23Hqq8QbeE&feature=player_embedded (World's first controllable MAV monocopter, Robotic Samara (maple seed));

http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/editors/24303/?a=f (TR article with embedded video of how it was developed/works (copy at
http://link.brightcove.com/services/player/bcpid263777539?bctid=46375788001




Flying insectbot? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYDR-yC3wK0
That but with other robot video links at: http://actualites.epfl.ch/presseinfo-com?id=936



Big Dog: stable in snow, rocks, clear ice...even when viciously kicked http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cHJJQ0zNNOM

Minibots in swarms: http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/artificial-intelligence/kilobots-are-cheap-enough-to-swarm-in-the-thousands


7. some newer robots...

Table tennis: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tIIJME8-au8

Wildcat:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wE3fmFTtP9g

Kangaroobot:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4luJ0ZSqy8

Sand fleabot:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6b4ZZQkcNEo

6-legged leaperbot:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kV9J-oayCBU
(Insects have 6 legs, so "bugbot"?)

Mowglibot wants your seat:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cgo7RZZqrXM

Gekkobot will drive you up the wall:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=asF1lhpYpAg

Will these really "haunt your soul"?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wK7SQScMERo

ASIMO:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tVtu6oyZzXU
(Named after Isaac, natch)

Build-ur-own gripper:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3OjhoVuAQkQ





Current syllabus



Please let me know of any topic requests - we can try to incorporate them.

Tu 1/14/2014...General course information

     Introductory meeting
     Homework #1, due Th 1/23/14 (next year in 7 days instead of 9)
     Videos: top sci-fi shorts of 2013; some top shorts of 2012; here is one; do I get some sort of bragging rights? Here is the website & trailer; to be released "really soon"!
Th 1/16/2014...Trajectories of the future
     Reminder: Homework #1, due Th 1/23/14
Tu 1/21/2014...From geotagging to the end of privacy
     Crowdsourced spaceship piloting
     Delphi Method (i)
     Homework #2, due Tu 1/28/14, do hands-on how-to
Th 1/23/2014...Delphi Method (ii)
Tu 1/28/2014...Delphi Method (ii cont.)
     Homework #3, due Tu 2/4/14
Th 1/30/2014......Delphi Method (ii cont.)
     Work on HW3 if time allows 
Tu 2/4/2014...Snow/ice day
Th 2/6/2014...Prediction markets (ser. #2)
     Sample prediction market contract (ser. #12)
     Homework #4, due Th 2/13/14 
Tu 2/11/2014...Prediction markets review (due to weather absences last time)
Th 2/13/2014...TRIZ (ser. #2)
     Homework #5, due Th 2/20/14
Tu 2/18/2014...TRIZ (ii)
Th 2/20/2014...Spoil sports of the prediction game 
     #1: Observer Effect (ser. #1)
Tu 2/25/2014...Spoil sports of the prediction game 
     Homework #6, due Tu 3/4/14
     #2: Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
     #3: Quantum Tunneling
     #4: Butterfly Effect (ser. #6) 
Th 2/27/2014...Spoil sports of the prediction game
     #5: External perturbations
     #6: Existentialist angst
     #7: The care horizon
Tu 3/4/2014...Snow day!
Th 3/6/2014...Personal futures: 
      Homework #7, due Tu 3/18/14
     "How to Really Achieve Your Childhood Dreams" (ser. #3);
Tu 3/11/2014...Building your personal future workshop
      Also an example of a futurism web site
Th 3/13/2014...Building your personal future workshop II
Tu 3/18/2014...Building your personal future workshop III 
      Homework #8 (optional)
Th 3/20/2014...The singularity
     Movie discussion: Transcendent Man
Tu 3/25/2014...Spring break
Th 3/27/2014...Spring break
Tu 4/1/2014...The singularity (cont.)
     Transcendence trailer
     Singularity notes (see lifeExt.xls)
     Asimov's "The Last Question"
     Vinge's "Technological Singularity"
     Homework #9, due Tu Apr. 8, 2014
     Schedule student presentations
Th 4/3/2014...
Start movie discussion: Earth2100 (subtitled(ser. #4)
Tu 4/8/2014...Finish Movie discussion: Earth 2100
      A Resource page
Th 4/10/2014...Hands-on robotics (ser. #5)  
     Homework #10, Extended to Tu 4/22/14
Tu 4/15/2014...Hands-on robotics II (ser. #5)  
Th 4/17/2014...More robotics
   AIShield, safeguarding humanity and the risks of AI/robotics
   Robogenesis
   Some robot pics and videos
   Metrics for progress in robotics
   Robotic cars
Tu 4/22/2014...Student presentations: 
    Homework #11 (ser. #10), due Tu 4/29/14
Th 4/24/2014...Student presentation(s): none
     Research can be future technology: an example
Tu 4/29/2014...Student presentation(s): Joseph; Patrick
    Robotic Dilemmas
Th 5/1/2014...Student presentation(s):  John; B.;
Tu 5/13/2014 from 1:30-3:30 p.m.... Scheduled final (no test)
   Meets only for people presenting: T.
   Project due

Below are potential additional topics
   Flying cars and jetpacks (1, 2)      Lead-in article;
    Do scientific proofs exist?
         Homework (see unposted draft)
   Toxoplasmosis (see also Slate and The Atlantic articles)
         Homework (see unposted draft)
   Transitpeople on the move
   Will we find other intelligent life?
   Guest lecture (remote): Dr. Harry Pence (MilneBigData13-3.ppt)
  Futurist organization example
   nanotech: http://ethics.iit.edu/research/nano-ethics-bank
   Crowdsourcing innovation 
   3-D printing and rep-rap
   The future of the presidency (ser. #8)
   Peak oil, solar cells, and new energy (see peakoil.tv & tv.aspousa.org)
   Shift happens (& prediction heuristics)
   Hubbert peak for oil
   photovoltaics (solar cells) ser. #7
   Solar cells from agricultural waste
Trend analysis
Robotics
   AIShield, safeguarding humanity and the risks of AI/robotics
   Robogenesis
   Some robot pics and videos
   Metrics for progress in robotics
   Robotic cars
Gaining long term perspective through time lapse videos
Video discussions II (last video not that great) 
Some rough notes on potential other discussion topics
TED videos and discussions
Backup plan for homo sapiens: space adventure
SETI: see end of this video
   Drake equation and such