Bolded text is planned for this semester.
Unbolded text is supplementary, possible, etc.
If this course is ever taught again, some of the lectures will be reordered so the following appears as a series: Making the future; TRIZ (can use students' inventions from Making the Future and improve on them); Theories of innovation (can use their inventions as examples of how they might fare according to each theory). This of course requires reordering/revising the HWs too.
Th 6:00, 1/20/2022 (lecture recordings: 2022, 2021, 2020)
General course information
Let's also look through this syllabus
Introduction (transcript)
Do I get some sort of bragging rights?
Here is more on the result
Videos: shorts for 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2017, 2016, 2014, 2013 & 2012
Futurism organization examples: KurzweilAI, APF, Millenium Project
--- 7:20 p.m. ---
Trajectories of the future (Mars spreadsheet) (transcript)
Examples: Space exploration - US vs. USSR, world
Covid is another partial exponential example
Any HW1 Qs? Why this due date & is it good?
Homework #2, due F 2/4/2022
--- 7:20 p.m. ---
Delphi Method (ii) (transcript ii, ii cont.)
Supplementary material:
a footnote on (mis)use of the term (ser. #13)
real-time Delphi;
including probability in the question posed;
a similar method (ser. #13)
Th 2/3/2022...Race to the future (ser. #9)
--- 7:20 p.m. ---
Delphi Method (ii) (transcript ii, ii cont.)
Supplementary material:
a footnote on (mis)use of the term (ser. #13)
real-time Delphi;
including probability in the question posed;
a similar method (ser. #13)
Th 2/3/2022...Race to the future (ser. #9)
Homework #3, due F 2/11/2022 (extended one day to Friday)
Note to instructor
Th 2/24/2022... Special plan due to campus closure: log in for class
Homework #4, due F 2/18/2022
Sample prediction market contract (ser. #12, directory predictionMarketStatements)
"How to Really Achieve Your Childhood Dreams" (ser. #3)
Homework #5, due F 2/25/2022 Sample prediction market contract (ser. #12, directory predictionMarketStatements)
"How to Really Achieve Your Childhood Dreams" (ser. #3)
Th 2/17/2022
Building your personal future workshop (recordings: Sp'22, Sp'20; inst. note) (ser. #14)
Building your personal future workshop (recordings: Sp'22, Sp'20; inst. note) (ser. #14)
Th 2/24/2022... Special plan due to campus closure: log in for class
To be rescheduled for next week due to weather closure:
Theories of Innovation (Sp'20 recording) (slides in Content/...)
Homework #6, due F 3/4/2022
Th 3/3/2022...
Questions on HW for tomorrow?
Homework #7, due F 3/11/2022
Homework #6, due F 3/4/2022
Th 3/3/2022...
Questions on HW for tomorrow?
Homework #7, due F 3/11/2022
Rescheduled for today due to weather last week:
Cones of uncertainty
Th 3/10/2022...TRIZ (recordings: Sp'22, Sp'20) (ser. #2)
Homework #8, due F 3/18/2022
Th 3/17/2022: Spoil Sports of Prediction
(recordings: Sp'22, Sp'21, Sp'20; transcript parts 1 (ser. #1), 2 (ser. #6) , & 3)
Homework #8, due F 3/18/2022
Th 3/17/2022: Spoil Sports of Prediction
Homework #9, due F 4/1/2022
Spoil sports of the prediction game (ser. #6) (recordings: Sp'22, Sp'21, Sp'20; transcript parts 1 (ser. #1), 2 (ser. #6) , & 3)
Th 3/24/2022: Spring break
Instructor note: time to (request speaker) if needed
Th 3/31/2022 (recordings: Sp'22, Sp'20) ..
Discuss plans for student presentations on 4/22/22, 4/29/22
Homework #10 (ser. #10), due F 4/8/2022
Making the future: from invention to customer discovery (ser. #16)
Homework #11, due F 4/15/2022 Homework #10 (ser. #10), due F 4/8/2022
Making the future: from invention to customer discovery (ser. #16)
Who is Ray Kurzweil? (a, b, c, d)
View Transcendent Man (rent, free) (84 min.) (ser. #15)
Discuss Transcendent Man and the singularity (transcript)
View Transcendent Man (rent, free) (84 min.) (ser. #15)
Discuss Transcendent Man and the singularity (transcript)
Life extension demo spreadsheet
Plan for next week Watch Movie Earth 2100 (length 1:23) (ser. #4)
Take notes! What would you be interested to discuss?
Discuss movie & etc. (transcripts i and ii) (ser. #5)
Take notes! What would you be interested to discuss?
Discuss movie & etc. (transcripts i and ii) (ser. #5)
Homework #12, due BY CLASS TIME, Th 4/21/2022
A climate change resource page
Supplemental as time allows: About NYC & flooding (article)
A climate change resource page
Supplemental as time allows: About NYC & flooding (article)
Th 4/21/2022...Student presentations (CP, TA, JC)
Recording (must login): 2022 (see file ./proj...)
Homework #13, due THURSDAY 4/28/2022
Long term societal cycles
Th 4/28/2022...Student Presentations (OA, JB, PS, JS)
Long term societal cycles
Th 4/28/2022...Student Presentations (OA, JB, PS, JS)
Recording (must login): 2022
Homework #14, due THURSDAY 5/5/2022
Long term societal cycles
Prediction market summary
Supplementary
Long term societal cycles
Th 5/5/2022...Final Exam, if there was one, but there isn't
HW14: project due (instead of final exam)
Have a Good Break!
Have a Good Break!
Below are potential additional topics
Information references of the future:
Information references of the future:
Robotics (if time allows)
Option 1:
Decentralized Societies (with robots)
Robotic Dilemmas (ser. #mult. c)
Robogenesis
Some robot pics and videos (first, just search anew)
AIShield, safeguarding humanity and the risks of AI/robotics
Robot pets (what about robot friends, partners, parents, kids...?)
Option 2:
Robotics (option 2): Setup, Using it, IR signal
thing pages; wiki-wiki-wikipedia; Watson; ???
Will we find other intelligent life?
SETI: see end of this video
Drake equation and such (transcript i, and ii)
Toxoplasmosis (ser. #11)(Slate and The Atlantic articles)(transcript)
toxoplasmosis related Homework (see unposted draft)
Impact: the futurism board "game"
Review & recap
Science, pseudoscience, and the simulated universe hypothesis
Futurism web site examples: http://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/uae/government/video-museum-of-
the-future-in-dubai-1.1466419Option 1:
Decentralized Societies (with robots)
Robotic Dilemmas (ser. #mult. c)
Robogenesis
Some robot pics and videos (first, just search anew)
AIShield, safeguarding humanity and the risks of AI/robotics
Robot pets (what about robot friends, partners, parents, kids...?)
Option 2:
Robotics (option 2): Setup, Using it, IR signal
thing pages; wiki-wiki-wikipedia; Watson; ???
Will we find other intelligent life?
SETI: see end of this video
Drake equation and such (transcript i, and ii)
Toxoplasmosis (ser. #11)(Slate and The Atlantic articles)(transcript)
toxoplasmosis related Homework (see unposted draft)
Impact: the futurism board "game"
Review & recap
Science, pseudoscience, and the simulated universe hypothesis
Futurism web site examples: http://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/uae/government/video-museum-of-
TED videos and discussions
http://videos.singularityu.org/
hyperglossaries
Backup plan for homo sapiens: space adventure
From geotagging to the end of privacy
Do scientific proofs exist? (transcript)
Homework (see unposted draft)
Guest lecture (remote): Dr. Harry Pence (MilneBigData13-3.ppt) (transcript)
nanotech: http://ethics.iit.edu/research/nano-ethics-bank
Covid:
More on COVID-19 (Sp'20 recording) (see content/COVID-19.xsl)
Crowdsourcing innovation
3-D printing and rep-rap
The future of the presidency (ser. #8)
Peak oil, solar cells, and new energy (see peakoil.tv & tv.aspousa.org)
Shift happens (& prediction heuristics)
Hubbert peak for oil
photovoltaics (solar cells) ser. #7
Solar cells from agricultural waste
Trend analysis
photovoltaics (solar cells) ser. #7
Solar cells from agricultural waste
Trend analysis
Video discussions II (last video not that great)
Some rough notes on potential other discussion topics
