Tuesday, September 26, 2017

Theories of Innovation and the National Robotics Initiative

Update notes: Check current state of NRI which is NRI 2.0. Then review NRI lecture and update as needed:
to do this see https://www.nsf.gov/funding/pgm_summ.jsp?pims_id=503641


Robots and the Future...

If robots could do all the work

     We could all be on permanent vacation

     Would this be a good idea?

If robots could do all the work

     We could all be out of work and hungry

     What determines which scenario occurs?


Source: techcrunch.com/2017/03/31/we-need-a-new-deal-to-address-the-economic-risks-of-automation/

robot-job-takeover-unemployment
source: www.makeuseof.com/tag/happens-robots-can-jobs/










From Need to Economic Opportunity
  • Governments what their country to have robotics industry leadership
    • This is economics... it means $$$
  • US, China, EU, Taiwan, S. Korea, Japan, Netherlands all have...
    • Strategic documents guiding national efforts




The Made in China 2025 plan


The US Effort
  • The National Robotics Initiative (NRI 2.0)
    • Created 2011
    • Focuses on co-robots
      • Definition updated 2020
        • Robots that work with people or other robots to accomplish a goal
      • Can't do that with current industrial robots
        • They're too dangerous!
  • Funding for researchers from
    • NSF, NASA, NIH, USDA, NIOSH




Current plan is called -


  • "...support fundamental research in the United States that will accelerate the development and use of...co-robots"



National Science Foundation effort
  • Emphasis on funding robotics research resulting in
    • Was: 
      • open architectures and reusable tool kits
    • Now: 
      • Ubiquity through
        • Scalability, customizability, lowering barriers to entry, and societal impact
  • Idea is that this will catalyze economic progress
    • ... and catapult the US into the lead
    • (Note that results will necessariliy be available world wide, not just in the US)












Why Apply Innovation Theory to 
Inform Gov't Efforts to Support
Robotics Research?

Economic growth depends on innovation

Spur robotics innovation to

           produce more jobs

           compete internationally

           increase the wealth of society

How does it increase wealth?

           Higher productivity per hour worked

                    There is then more to be spread around

Will it necessarily be spread around?


Source: www.techcrates.com/robotics-research-review/







Comments?





How compelling is that argument to you?


How does this mesh with theories of innovation?




Ref.: Verspagen, B., “Innovation and economic growth,” in The Oxford Handbook of Innovation, J. Fagerberg, D. Mowery, and R. Nelson, Eds. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005, pp. 487-513.

Verspagen:






How Do You Cope in this Verspagen World?




...Another Theory...


How Do You Cope in a Customer Centered Innovation World?

What might that be?




Recall models from last time: 



The Christensen III Model...

Why?
Any Suggestions for Promoting Robotics in a VCE World?








How does the Abernathy and Utterback Model handle it?


                          

Abernathy and Utterback Model:

Which stage should government funding encourage the most?

Which stage should government funding encourage the most?





A Model for Developing Robotics Companies








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